The 9th London Mayoral Election Twitter Poll

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Poll findings
1) Well big changes today at least in how the poll is constructed. I wanted to put some kind of limit on the number of tweets that anyone tweeter could tweet that would be included in the analysis. I was going to keep secret to flummox anyone wanting to bias it. However during the course of coding I was able to find a solution that resulted in using tweeters that only mention a candidate only once. Go selecting data using logical conditions. Anyway I will see how this goes. Today it doesn't seemed to have changed from the normal pattern but obviously to volume reached has been lower.

2)Boris got more mentions but he was pretty much even with Ken on sentiment. So basically it's a toss up but slightly leaning to Boris.

3)Looking at the YouGov poll released today you've got a picture which show the big 2 out front and the others in something of a scrum at the bottom. I couldn't see a margin of error on there but expect with would have been something around +/- 3% so Paddick on 7% may feel better than Jones on 2% but Jones's +3% = 5% which is higher than Paddick's -3%  which = 4%.. I will do proper calculations to work out the correlation between my data and the result but at the moment it's not looking too bad even if the BorKen lead over the rest is understated.

4) Carlos has put in an appearance today. Suspect he got in the media somehow the tweets were mainly laughing at him. So we are getting near the prospect of a BNP mayor deporting himself.

5) Siobhan wins the Mary Poppins ward for highest positive rating & lowest negative. Though her figures aren't looking THAT different from the others. Jenny Jones shouldn't allow some American to use her name for chatshow reasons or at least get them to air the series after the election.


Results

    Candidate Pos9 Neut9 Neg9 Tot9 Pospercent9 Negpercent9
1    BorisCON  243   447  185  875          28          21
2      KenLAB  168   256  120  544          31          22
3 BrianLIBDEM   46   127   62  235          20          26
4  JennyGREEN   49    74   78  201          24          39
5  SiobhanIND  127   152   69  348          36          20
6   CarlosBNP    7    30   15   52          13          29