Wednesday 11 April 2012

The 4th London Mayoral Twitter Poll




 
 
 Poll findings
1) Well it's all been happening today. Ken released a video and cried getting coverage in the national press which sees his volume figures hit the roof and then there was the debate!His ratings has worsened a little bit more than Boris's 
 
2) Boris's volume hardly changed from yesterday and his figures are a little worse but really not a lot of change.
 
3) For people who wanted to prove ComRes wrong tonights figures are good news for Siobhan Benita as she got the highest positive rating and lowest negative and her volume grew again even though she was excluded from the debate. Now comfortably third she also got more positive mentions than Boris Johnson. Her problem is numbers to get 5% and get her deposit back she need roughly 200,000 votes. Now a 1000+ tweets is a great performance that the Lib Dems and Greens can't match but she's going to need more than twitter to breakthrough electorally in what is a VAST electorate.
 
4) As for the Lib Dems and Greens volume up probably because of the debate but not a lot of change in sentiment. Brian performed a bit worse today but then yesterday was his manifesto launch which is as close as you generally get in politics to a look at me aren't I and my policies fantastic day so some decline was to be expected.
 
5) UKIP failed to make the cut and the BNP well what can you say the're nowhere at least not round here anyway perhaps they're big in Uruguay or something.
 
 
 How does this poll work?
 
 
      Candidate Pos4 Neut4 Neg4 Tot4 Pospercent4 Negpercent4
1       Ken Lab  469  1242 1190 2901          16          41
2     Boris Con  295   604  516 1415          21          36
3   Jenny Green  145   413  234  782          19          30
4 Brian Lib Dem  154   269  184  604          25          30
5   Siobhan Ind  340   555  218 1113          31          20
6    Carlos BNP    5    20   10   35          14          29

2 comments:

  1. I find it so odd that UKIP on westminster elections have such a presence but consistently seem to give up on London mayor challenges... A tiny request party colours for the graphs, please.

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  2. Ironically UKIP do best in European elections as the main topic is Europe and of course it's a PR election. If I remember rightly I think they got two members elected to the London assembly in 2004. 1 left for his own party of one and the other got defeated by the electorate.

    Party colours on the graph is on the list of things to code but I need to merge the dataframes for the name and twitter handle and then tidy up the results so I can produce the graphics automatically rather than having to copy and paste and fiddle about with it. But yes it does need doing.

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